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Mr. Utset has over
seven years of experience in international development and democracy
promotion programs. At Freedom House, Mr. Utset has managed and
supervised projects in Central and Eastern Europe and Latin America.
Prior to joining Freedom House in 2002, he was research assistant at
John Snow Inc, where he supported a team of analysts on Global
Health. He has done field research in Latin America and Russia.
Xavier received his Masters in International Development, focusing
on democratization and civil society, from The George Washington
University, and his B.A. in International Relations from Florida
International University. He speaks native Spanish and
conversational French. |
In November 1999 Cuba hosted the 10th Ibero-American Summit, in
which approximately 20 Latin American Presidents and Heads of State joined
together to discuss the present and future of Ibero-American relations. At
the time, the meeting appeared as an ideal opportunity to improve the
international image of the Castro government
Retrospectively, however, the gathering
represented one of the major diplomatic blows the regime suffered in the 1990s.
The pivotal role of the opposition[i],
which held parallel meetings with various Presidents, was largely responsible
for such a result.
Earlier that year, an organized group of dissidents known as the “Group of 4”
were brought to trial after spending fifteen months in prison. They were
detained in late 1997 after presenting the document La Patria Es de Todos
to the international media. Their trial in March 1999 triggered a surprisingly
strong condemnation from such dissimilar international actors as Madeleine
Albright, Nelson Mandela, the Italian Communist Party, and the Uruguayan leftist
coalition Frente Amplio. The regime opted for swallowing such diplomatic
embarrassment rather than loosening its internal grip.
These two examples symbolize the increasingly significant role that internal
organizations of opposition have played in Cuban political reality since the
early 1990s. Today, foreign policy assessments about the island rarely exclude
the role of the opposition.[ii]
Representatives of Western governments visiting Cuba typically include in their
agenda conversations with opposition figures. Foreign correspondents on the
island, in spite of the regime’s obvious discomfort,[iii]
report profusely on the opposition’s activities. International human rights
organizations inform extensively on violations on the island. In fact, such
reports are frequently based on information provided by independent journalists
and opponents themselves. More importantly, the Cuban government has evidenced a
need to react to the opposition with severe tactics that endanger ongoing
efforts to attract investment to the island. The passing of Law 88 in February
1999, which severely penalizes non-official news reporting, is probably the most
glaring example.
Despite the evident growth of organized opposition
to the regime, this movement has yet to become a direct threat to Castro’s hold
of power. Any claim otherwise would be a misguided overstatement. Yet, the Cuban
pro-democracy movement has managed to grow and consolidate in a bleak
environment for independent activism. Currently, the Cuban regime lacks the
power to uproot the opposition movement; in essence, the regime has no option
but to “live with it.” This reality might be the opposition’s most important
accomplishment.
This paper is an overview of
the evolution of the opposition movement since its inception 25 years ago.
First, the paper will reflect on a set of preliminary considerations that will
help understand the context around which it revolves. The key concepts of
dissidence, opposition, and regime type will be clarified. Then, the paper will
outline chronologically the movement’s major turning points. As a means of
conclusion, the paper will identify and evaluate the trends of the process
exposed.
Some initial considerations
Before discussing opposition
movements one must distinguish between the concepts of dissidence and
opposition. Although commonly used interchangeably, the two terms hold different
conceptual implications. While dissent arises within a group or political party,
opposition comes from actors in the periphery of political control. Moreover,
dissent “is not organized and does not seek to replace the existing regime: it
merely seeks to criticize, to exhort, to persuade, and to be listened to.”[iv]
Opposition, in turn, implies outright confrontation on essential matters. It
requires organization and seeks to “displace the present incumbents.”[v]
In other words, what dissent tries to reform, the opposition seeks to depose.
Dissidence in Communist
regimes typically originates in the ranks of the intelligentsia.[vi]
With time, as in Cuba in the mid-1970s, intellectual dissenters may evolve into
outright opponents of the system. Usually, the catalysts for this transformation
are frustration with official dogmatism, moral indignation, or the feeling of
direct repression.
In Cuba, the anti-systemic
movement started as an organized opposition group. Although some previous
instances of individual dissent within the elites occurred,[vii]
the objective of the Cuban Committee for Human Rights[viii]
(CCPDH) was unambiguous from the onset. It sought a return to democratic
politics and a sharp break with the status quo.[ix]
The founders of the movement had diverged from the official Party line at some
point in the past; all of them had suffered for it.[x]
As a consequence, they sought to attack the essence of the regime, which they
identified as the root of the “Cuban problem.” Through the years, as the
movement grew in numbers, some individuals and organizations proposed changing
the system from the inside, still hopeful that reform could occur within
the system.[xi]
During the height of Perestroika in the Soviet Union, reform was an appealing
option for many in Cuba. Nevertheless, the regime responded unequivocally with
repression. Dissent was not an option. Reforms, if any, could only come from the
upper echelons of the Party. Consequently, although some organizations still
advocate for reforms from the top-down,[xii]
most non-official political organizations today in Cuba consider themselves in
opposition to, rather than a dissent from, the Cuban Revolutionary government.[xiii]
Another matter of essential
relevance is that of regime type. Many scholars classify the Revolution as a
totalitarian system.[xiv]
This version, however, fails to account for the complex evolutionary process of
the regime. The Revolution has been moving, albeit reluctantly and against its
will, into post-totalitarianism since the 1970s.[xv]
This transformation is particularly evident in the 1990s. Simultaneously, the
Maximum Leader continues to be the critical decision-maker, both in policy
decisions and in the satisfaction of group interests. Therefore, the Cuban
regime has evolved into a singular case of sultanistic post-totalitarianism.[xvi]
Post-totalitarianism is
considered a residual by-product of a totalitarian system that simply stopped
working.
[xvii]
The basic characteristics of post-totalitarianism are as follows: a
ritualization of ideology and mobilization, limited openings of pluralism,
social autonomy, and economic liberalization, and the empowerment of the
bureaucratic structure in decision-making.[xviii]
In Eastern Europe, most Communist regimes were post-totalitarian by the 1980s.
In the Soviet Union, the death of Stalin marked the break with totalitarianism
and the start of a new era of post-totalitarianism.[xix]
In Cuba, the 1970 sugar harvest fiasco, the subsequent process of
institutionalization, and the introduction of Soviet-style economic policies
marked the beginning of a new post-totalitarian road to Communism.[xx]
The changes in the linguistics of the Revolution are symbolic of this shift.
Words such as planning, management, institution, and bureaucracy, replaced
conciencia, sacrifice, heroism, and moral incentive.[xxi]
A second defining
characteristic of the Cuban regime is its sultanistic nature.[xxii]According
to Juan Linz, in a sultanistic regime loyalty to the ruler is based on “a
mixture of fear and rewards to [the ruler’s] collaborators, and bureaucratic
administration is constantly subverted by [his] personal arbitrary decisions.”[xxiii]
Further, the leader is not constrained by ideological or legal arrangements, and
appointments depend largely on his personal preferences. Often, the ruler places
friends and relatives in key positions. In Cuba, personal charisma and political
sagacity gained Fidel Castro the role as the Great Helmsman of the Revolution.[xxiv] Castro has further
solidified his personal rulership through the use of fear and rewards.
Policy-making, appointments, purges, and the fulfillment of personal interests
all fall under Castro’s personal, arbitrary command.
As Rafael Rojas put it “El itinerario providencial que conducirá la nave del
país a su destino sólo puede ser patrimonio del líder.”[xxv]
During the Special Period, Castro has used the influx of large amounts of
hard currency to strengthen the sultanistic structure of power.
Throughout the 1980s and 90s,
the erratic policies of the regime contributed to a deepening of
post-totalitarianism.
[xxvi]
The demise of the Soviet bloc in 1991 contributed greatly to the decay of the
regime. After the “Special Period in Times of Peace,”[xxvii]
the Revolution has been “less driven by ideology, less capable of mobilizing the
populace, and less in control of all aspects of Cuban life.”[xxviii]
Popular support for the Revolution translates into ritualized accommodation to
unpleasant but unchangeable realities. The population has mastered an entrenched
system of social and political relations based on doble-moral,[xxix]
and a nascent alternative civil society has struggled to emerge.[xxx]
Although the regime still possesses hegemonic control, it suffered from a
critical crisis of legitimacy, as the ability to deliver equality and prosperity
evaporates.[xxxi]
The process of
post-totalitarian decay has left many spaces of autonomy relatively open for a
burgeoning civil society. However, it would be imprudent to see these changes as
a voluntary liberalization from the top-down. The budding civil society is
primarily a consequence, although also a cause, of a crumbled totalitarian
model.[xxxii]
On the one hand, civil society emerges as the regime becomes unable to
completely restrict it completely. On the other, the island experiences what
Linz and Stepan call societal conquest,[xxxiii]
whereby actors at the grassroots level create and enlarge cracks – or fisuras[xxxiv]-
in the wall of the regime. The most apparent example of “grassroots
liberalization” by societal conquest is the birth and growth of an indigenous
movement of opposition to the regime.
The opposition to the Castro regime: first and second
waves.
According to Enrique Pumar,
Communist regimes generally face two waves of opposition.[xxxv]
The first develops at the beginning of the take-over phase. At that point, the
regime has not yet consolidated its total control of power. Opposition comes
from former officials of the deposed regime, disaffected Revolutionaries, and
genuine anti-communists. The first wave is usually doomed to failure because the
forces against it are too powerful. The second wave emerges after total control
begins to erode and post-totalitarian symptoms surface. The second wave is
necessarily non-violent (as all weapons are controlled by the regime), and
usually emerges from the ranks of the intelligentsia. Subsequently, popular
sectors may also join to rally against the regime.
In Cuba, the first wave of
opposition lasted approximately nine years (1959-1968). Most opposition
activities were of a violent nature (i.e. the Escambray guerrillas, the bombing
of the Le Coubre ship, clandestine urban movements),[xxxvi]
even though significant attempts to redress the Revolution through civic efforts
existed.[xxxvii] Neither method
produced effective results. By the early 1960s Castro’s hold of power was too
formidable to be uprooted. A totalitarian system was in the works and the bulk
of potential opponents were either dead, in exile or in prison[xxxviii].
The second wave started in 1976 with the foundation of the Cuban Committee for
Human Rights (CCPDH), the first organized opposition effort since the 60s.
Democracy was the underlying objective of the second wave. No political tendency
held sway over a majority of the
opposition, although social democracy seemed to be the most common political
alignment. The purpose of the CCPDH was to advocate for respect of the Universal
Declaration of Human Rights. Later the agenda of opposition activities broadened
to include a variety of political and social problems.
Following the initial period
of resistance and uncertainty of the early 1960s, Castro created a structure of
absolute power. In the first two decades, the Revolution faced only a few
episodes of elite dissent. The most remarkable was that of the Microfaction
Affair in 1968, in which 36 members of the Communist Party were tried and
condemned for “counterrevolutionary activities and enemy propaganda.”[xxxix]
Those involved in the Affair never formed an organized group; they merely met
several times to discuss Castro’s cult of personality and the necessity of
imitating the economic reforms of the Soviet Union, which Castro disliked.[xl]
Most of the participants were searching for ways to perfeccionar the
Revolution.[xli] They were, therefore,
dissidents, not opposition.
The Microfaction Affair
planted the seeds of the second wave of opposition. Ricardo Bofill was among
those condemned. In 1976 Bofill founded the first opposition group, the Cuban
Committee for Human Rights (CCPDH). Bofill received a sentence of 12 years of
imprisonment for writing a critical manuscript seized during the Affair. His
position was of ruptura rather than reforma. Many of those
involved in the Affair, who were dissenters in the past, transformed into
outright opposition after enduring the Cuban jails.[xlii]
After the affair, they realized that neither Fidel Castro nor Communism were
going to reform.[xliii]
The second wave of opposition
can be divided in four phases: survival (1976-1988), growth and proliferation
(1988-1990), coordination (1990-1996), and consolidation (1996-present). Each
period builds onto the next. Alternative groups emerged and disappeared since
the 70s, and there were attempts to form coalitions since the late 80s. These
trends have not ceased in the present. Further, the opposition has experienced a
curve of unremitting expansion since its inception. Even during periods of harsh
repression (e.g. the months during Concilio Cubano in 1996) the opposition was
able to pick up the pieces and regain its former strength.
From 1976 until 1979 only four
members belonged to the CCPDH.[xliv]
Dr. Marta Frayde, the co-founder of the Committee with Bofill, was arrested in
1976 and forced into exile three years later. By then, Bofill garnered
international attention to her case and to several other human rights abuses.
Little came of these actions, and the subsequent repression was unbearable.[xlv]
In 1980, the Mariel exodus
brought some of the most gruesome cases of brutality to Cuba.[xlvi]
At least 40 people were lynched as they attempted to leave the island, and
hundreds suffered acts of repudiation.[xlvii]
During the Mariel episode, Castro imprisoned all members of the Committee.
Retrospectively, Castro’s action was key to the future development of the
opposition. In prison, Bofill contacted the Arcos family, Elizardo Sánchez, and
other political prisoners who joined the ranks of the Committee. Many of them
later became leaders of the democratic movement. Members of the CCPDH first
became organized and began to use their names and signatures in denunciations
while in prison.[xlviii]
In 1987, eleven years after
its first meeting, the Committee carried out its first protest. In October, the
CCPDH offered a public mass in honor of the Polish catholic Father Popieluzsko,
who was murdered by the Communist regime in Poland. Some weeks later, Radio
Martí broadcasted the first public communication with dissidents on the island,
called Coloquio en La Habana. The radio program presented various CCPDH
leaders denouncing the human rights situation on the island.[xlix]
The creation of Radio Martí in
1985 was a turning point in the evolution of the movement. The US
government-sponsored radio station allowed human rights activists to reach wide
audiences within the island. Radio Martí was fundamental for popular recognition
of the movement and for the recruitment of new activists.[l]
The station “alleviated the official ostracism imposed on dissidents and
established a two-way communications system,” channeling denunciations from, and
news toward the island.[li]
In the 1990s, Radio Martí was key to the rise of independent journalism, since
it became the essential purveyor of independent Cuban newscasts.
From 1988 to 1990, the number
of organizations and activists confronting the regime exploded exponentially,
totaling approximately 100. Thanks to Radio Martí’s broadcasts, Cubans learned
about the CCPDH and other groups of opposition.[lii]
International human rights organizations were temporarily allowed to visit and
produce reports on the situation in Cuba.[liii]
In addition, the CCPDH decided to shift its activism from the mere transmittal
of denunciations to civil disobedience. The Cuban Pro-Human Rights Party (PPDH),
created in July[liv]
to capitalize on the growing popular interest in the Committee, put in practice
several projects of civic action, such as the collection of signatures to demand
a referendum.[lv]
In February 1988, the CCPDH organized an exposition of dissident art in Havana,
with more than 200 invitees, primarily diplomats and foreign journalists,
attending the opening of the event.[lvi]
In reaction, the regime organized an acto de repudio at the house where
the exposition was being held. Days later, Granma[lvii]
published a series of articles condemning the CCPDH as “counterrevolutionary
worms.”[lviii]
Harassment towards Ricardo Bofill intensified and forced his exile in October.[lix]
The opposition’s largest victory to date came a month before his departure, in
September 1988, as the United Nations Commission for Human Rights visited the
island and registered more than 2,400 cases of abuses. In February 1989, the
Commission produced an appalling report based on these testimonies. This report
was the first documented human rights-related embarrassment for the Cuban
government in the international arena.
The Ochoa scandal of 1989 was
the prelude of a severe wave of repression for the opposition.[lx] Between August 1989 and
April 1990, the regime organized acts of repudiation[lxi]
toward numerous opponents, beating and jailing others.[lxii]
The situation was slipping out of control. The Eastern European regimes were
crumbling, Gorbachev was unrelenting with his liberalizing policies in the USSR,
the Ochoa case evidenced deep discontent within the Armed Forces, and the
internal opposition was growing ever more complex. Fearing a descent into
radical violence as seen in Timisoara and Tiananmen, several leading dissidents
called for national dialogue and a referendum in Cuba.[lxiii]
The calls were unheeded by the regime. Interestingly, the calls were also
repudiated by the mainstream exile. In June 1990, several exile figures withdrew
their support of the CCPDH after its secretary, Gustavo Arcos Bergnes, demanded
national dialogue.[lxiv]
This episode evidenced a severe disconnect between the internal opposition and
the mainstream Exile, which fought for a hard-line stance toward Communist Cuba.[lxv]
In later years, relations between the two experienced a radical transformation
towards mutual respect and collaboration.[lxvi]
In the early 1990s, the
opposition movement was growing in numbers and complexity. New organizations
stepped to the front of the movement and new leaders emerged to substitute those
who were in prison or exile. Notably, the movement generally exhibited a strong
capacity to recreate itself regardless of the regime’s level of repression.[lxvii] Simultaneously, there
was a considerable effort towards coalition-building. In 1991 two coalitions
formed: the Coalición Democrática Cubana, and the Concertación
Democrática Cubana.[lxviii]
For some, no convincing reason existed for two coalitions.[lxix]
Divisions were not polarizing: they were not based on antagonism but on
political beliefs.[lxx]
Yet the two alliances showed two sharp differences: the source of external
support and the stance on dialogue with the government. The Coalición
proposed a harder line towards the government and was backed in Miami by the
Cuban American National Foundation. On the other hand, the Concertación
continued to be receptive to the idea of dialogue and received direct support
from Huber Matos’ Cuba Independeinte y Democrática (CID) and the
Plataforma Democrática Cubana, led from Spain by the author Carlos Alberto
Montaner.[lxxi]
It is worth noting that two of the most influential organizations, the CCPDH and
Oswaldo Payá’s Movimiento Cristiano Liberación (MCL), declined to
affiliate with either coalition.
The work of the opposition in
the Cuban provinces also began to thrive in the early 1990s. The CCPDH, the
PPDH, and the MCL expanded into rural areas. Their delegations in the Villa
Clara and Granma provinces were particularly active, as indicated by the
increased repression suffered by their members.[lxxii]
Similarly, in this period the opposition initiated a trend of “issue activism.”
In 1991, the first independent workers’ union and the Independent Medical
Doctors’ Guild were founded in Havana.[lxxiii]
In 1989, the first association of independent journalists was created.[lxxiv]
Similar groups surfaced soon after. This trend picked up after 1995, as the
number of independent journalists increased exponentially and members of
different social collectives, such as farmers, librarians, the blind, lawyers,
and engineers, founded representative associations autonomous of government
influence.[lxxv]
In March 1992, in the midst of
an intense and relatively successful government campaign to discredit the
Coalición and the Concertación,[lxxvi]
the UN Human Rights Commission appointed a Special Rapporteur to observe the
human rights situation in Cuba. A few months later his report strongly condemned
the Revolution.[lxxvii]
For the opposition, this censure was the “culmination of a work well done.”[lxxviii]
The reprimand by the UN boosted the morale of the opposition and confirmed that
their work was having a significant international effect.
The UN censure came at a time
when an unprecedented number of government officials publicly entered the ranks
of the dissidents and the opposition. Dozens of university professors,
professionals, and military officers were expelled from their jobs for publicly
advocating for reform.[lxxix]
In the December 1992 elections to the National Assembly of Popular Power, 2.7
million voters cast null or blank ballots, an unprecedented situation in Cuba.[lxxx]
Simultaneously, Cuba’s post-Soviet economic crisis was devastating. Food and
energy shortages were commonplace. The population was growing desperate, and
numerous acts of vandalism were reported.[lxxxi]
The rate of balseros arriving to the US intensified significantly.
[lxxxii]
From 1992 until 1994 the regime endured its deepest economic and legitimacy
crisis.
The climax of the Cuban crisis
came in the summer of 1994. On July 13, government boats sunk a tugboat with 72
Cubans leaving the island, killing 42 people.[lxxxiii]
Also, only in August and September 1994, more than 30,000 balseros were
picked up at sea by the US Coast Guard.[lxxxiv]
The spark that provoked such massive exodus occurred on August 5 as popular
riots broke out in Havana’s malecón.
The revolt led the regime to open the border to those who wanted to leave
by sea. On September 9, Cuba accorded a migration agreement with the US
government, by which the US consented to help contain migration waves such as
the 1994 rafters’ crisis.[lxxxv]
As during the Mariel episode, Fidel Castro used the crisis as a safety valve to
calm down the population’s suppressed anger.[lxxxvi]
Beginning in 1995 the
government began to stabilize the economic crisis.[lxxxvii]
Initial economic improvements did not translate into political liberalization.
According to a report by Pax Christi Netherlands, in February 1996 there
were between 2,500 and 5,000 political prisoners in Cuba.[lxxxviii]
In the first three months of 1995, 340 detentions, 40 beatings, and 7 deaths
with political connotations were registered.[lxxxix]
President Castro himself publicly
stated that “…no entiendo exactamente porqué el comercio libre y el hombre libre
siempre han sido asociados. No creo que sean gemelos.”[xc]
From October 1995 to February
1996, a total of 140 opposition organizations agreed to hold a national meeting
in Havana.[xci]
The forum was named Concilio Cubano and organized by Leonel Morejón
Almagro, a young black opposition lawyer. Concilio included organizations
“ranging from human rights to workers and from ecologists to journalists and
economists.”[xcii]
Concilio’s declaration proposed the following four objectives: a peaceful
transition to democracy, an unconditional amnesty for all political prisoners, a
legal reform allowing the respect of human rights and economic independence, and
an environment of non-exclusionary political participation.[xciii]
Clearly, Concilio Cubano was the firmest challenge the opposition posed
to the regime to date. With Concilio, the opposition finally joined
together as one well-structured collective.[xciv]
Therefore, the potential of the coalition was unpredictable. As early as January
1996, the secret police rounded up the leaders of Concilio and initiated
a nationwide crackdown, thwarting the meeting before it actually took place. On
February 24, Cuban MiGs downed two US civilian planes of the Exile organization
Hermanos Al Rescate, shifting the focus of attention from the crackdown in
the island to a renewed confrontation in the Florida strait. Morejón Almagro and
another Concilio
leader, Lázaro González Valdés, were sentenced to 18 months in prison.
Dozens of participants suffered short-time arrests.
The experience of Concilio
Cubano represented an exercise in democratic politics.[xcv] Although the final
conference was suspended, numerous preparatory meetings took place in the
preceding months. For the first time, a large number of organizations met and
discussed the Cuban situation. However, the Concilio episode exposed a
recurring division within the opposition between those that advocated for civic
resistance (the ruptura position), and those seeking posiciones
moderadas and dialogue with the regime (the reforma position).[xcvi]
Lastly, the government’s response to Concilio ratified its clear stance
of political immobilism. As evidenced by the downing of the Brothers to the
Rescue planes, Fidel Castro preferred to risk his international image rather
than allowing the opposition to become a cemented block[xcvii].
Implicitly, the regime recognized that internal opposition had grown into a
substantial threat that demanded intensive monitoring.
After Concilio Cubano,
the opposition found itself confused and disgruntled. Many of its leaders were
either in exile or in prison. However, these effects were temporary. Since 1997,
the Cuban opposition has consolidated as a complex, multifaceted, sustainable
reality in Cuba’s political life. A large part of the opposition intensified the
use of civic resistance strategies.[xcviii]
Even though the movement was still a “ghost” for a significant part of the
population,[xcix] internationally it
reached an important level of respect and recognition.[c]
In October 1997, the regime
arrested a renowned group of dissident intellectuals known as the Grupo de
Trabajo de la Disidencia Interna (GTDI). The GTDI consisted of a university
professor, an economist, a pilot, and a lawyer. Interestingly, the pilot was
none other than Vladimiro Roca, the son of PCC-founder Blas Roca. They had
presented the document La Patria Es de Todos to the international media.
The document was a direct challenge to the principles charted at the recently
held 4th Congress of the PCC. Earlier, in late 1996, Elizardo Sánchez
Santacruz, one of the most renowned Cuban dissidents outside Cuba, received the
French Human Rights Award from the French President Jacques Chirac in Paris.
After 1997, the different independent social groups blossomed throughout the
1990s were particularly active. The number of independent unions, agricultural
cooperatives, libraries, and guilds grew rapidly.[ci] Most importantly, the
government was never capable of impeding the expansion of the independent
journalists’ network. In 1999 there were 20 independent press agencies with
correspondents reporting from all 14 provinces.[cii]
Independent journalists received numerous awards from international press
associations,[ciii] and the amount of work
produced exceeded the capacity of those who processed it outside of Cuba.[civ] Even after the passing of
Law 88 in 1999, designed to severely restrict the flow of information from and
to the island, independent journalists carried on their activities undeterred.
In early 1998, Pope John Paul
II visited the island. The “pilgrimage to Cuba sparked hope that the government
would ease its repressive tactics.”[cv]
However, the regime organized the visit as part of a well-planned strategy of
international diplomacy, intended to portray Cuba as a country in a full-fledged
transformation. The strategy was partly successful, as the regime eluded the UN
Human Rights Commission (UNHCR) condemnation for the first time in 6 years.
Moreover the mandate of the UNHCR Special Rapporteur to Cuba was not extended,
and Cuba was allowed into the Lomé economic treaty as an observing member. There
was also serious talk of a visit by the Spanish King Juan Carlos I to the
Island.[cvi]
Even though 1998 was one of
the most stable years in recent memory, the government failed to heed the Pope’s
call to “open Cuba to the world.”[cvii]
According to the Cuban Commission of Human Rights and National Reconciliation
(CCDHRN), there were between 200 and 300 political prisoners in Cuba at
that time.[cviii]
Human Rights Watch placed the total closer to 400.[cix]
The trials of opponents Reynaldo Alfaro and Cecilio Monteagudo, and independent
journalist Mario J. Viera reminded the international community that the
situation of civil liberties had not changed since the Pope’s visit. Similarly,
Fidel Castro continued to disregard countless international appeals for the
liberation of the GTDI activists jailed in 1997.[cx]
Only twelve months after the
Pope’s visit, the regime altered its strategy to the more traditional, hard-line
stance towards opposition and dissent. As noted above, the government passed Law
88 (also known as the Gag Law) in February 1999 as a reaction to increased
activities by independent press agencies. It is worth noting that the law
explicitly links “counterrevolutionary activities” of the independent press to
the U.S. embargo. By establishing this connection, the government intended to
disqualify autonomous news reporting as being anti-Cuban.
In March 1999, the GTDI
dissidents arrested two years earlier were finally brought to trial under
accusations of sedition. The trial and conviction of the four caused an
international uproar.[cxi]
The Group of 4, as they came to be known, became the most “emblematic figures of
the Cuban opposition.”[cxii]
The regime was determined to show strength and internal unity. The dissidents
received sentences ranging between 3 ½ and 5 years.[cxiii]
The year of 1999 saw a
momentous increase in opposition activism. According to the report Pasos a la
Libertad 1999, there were 227 confirmed acts of civic resistance in the
island. A year earlier there had been 100.[cxiv]
A large part of these activities occurred in the context of two key events: the
40-day fast Ayuno Vida y Libertad, and the 10th Ibero-American Summit
hosted in Havana.
The Ayuno
was considered the most important success of the internal opposition in
years. It was the largest, most complex and structured collective action
organized by the movement since Concilio Cubano. For 40 straight days,
opposition activists established Centros de Ayuno in countless cities
around the island. An average of 217 Cubans visited a Casa de Ayuno every
day.[cxv]
Very importantly, a significant part of the visitors were not members of
opposition organizations.[cxvi] The Ayuno showed
the level of collaboration between opposition organizations. Initially, 4
organizations put together the activity. By the 40th day, a myriad of
organizations had joined and organized Casas de Ayuno spontaneously
throughout the island.[cxvii]
The regime responded by not responding. The strategy of the State Security was
to infiltrate the activity and disrupt it from its core. In part, this strategy
succeeded in raising disputes between participants.[cxviii]
The Ayuno
propelled the figure of Dr. Oscar Elías Biscet, a young black medical doctor
expelled from his job for his stance against abortion, to prominence. A declared
follower of Mohandas Gandhi and Martin Luther King, Jr., Dr. Biscet was a key
organizer in the Ayuno. In 1997, Dr. Biscet founded the pro-life Lawton
Foundation for Human Rights.[cxix]
Dr. Biscet was arrested during the Ibero-American Summit in Havana. He was later
accused of desecrating the national flag and condemned to three years in prison.[cxx]
The detention of Dr. Biscet
was one of more than 300 arrests occurred between November 1999 and February
2000, in the context of the Ibero-American Summit in Havana.[cxxi] For the government, the
Summit was a new opportunity to prove that Cuba was a “normal” country,[cxxii] whereas for the
opposition it was an ideal occasion to display its capacity of action. Despite
the numerous detentions, the opposition held a national meeting of Cuban NGOs in
Havana, a national meeting of independent farmers in Las Tunas province, and a
number of rallies and public demonstrations calling for the liberation of
political prisoners.[cxxiii]
Various Presidents met with opposition figures and demanded the Cuban government
begin a genuine transition to democracy. International news reports paid more
attention to the opposition than to the issues debated by the Presidents. The
Diaspora was a key factor in this dynamic. Most activities planned by Miami
organizations to support the internal opposition were cancelled, so as to center
the focus of attention on the island.[cxxiv]
Further, prominent Exile figures lobbied the Ibero-American governments during
the months preceding the Summit.[cxxv]
In retrospect, the Summit propelled the opposition to center stage.
In 2000, the dynamics of
opposition were largely subordinated to the case of the balserito
Elián González. Internationally, reports regarding Cuba focused on the Elián
case, which eased the environment for a stepped up campaign of harassment and
short-term arrests.[cxxvi]
Although the opposition held divided opinions on the fate of the balserito,
the case did not provoke significant disagreements within the movement. Despite
the unfavorable environment of persecution, in 2000 the opposition increased the
number of civic activities and acts of defiance.[cxxvii]
The perseverant activities of independent journalists continued to be among the
most worrisome for the regime, as evidenced by the detentions of journalists
Víctor Rolando Arroyo, Angel Pablo Polanco, Orlando Gonález Bridón, and Jesús
Hernández.[cxxviii]
Concluding remarks
As a means of conclusion,
following are some observations on the most prominent issues regarding the
opposition’s process of growth and consolidation:
Demographics of opposition:
The opposition has notably changed its demographic composition since 1976. The
movement initiated as a reaction by a handful Havana-based intellectuals to
personal experiences of direct repression. After 1988, the movement evolved into
a phenomenon involving thousands of citizens from all social strata, and from
all 14 provinces in the island. Youth, women, and afro-cubans often gained
leadership positions within the ranks of numerous organizations.[cxxix] Simultaneously, the
range of activities diversified, including not only human rights denunciations
but also the interests of social sectors such as farmers, journalists, workers,
teachers, lawyers, professionals, and librarians. In the last three years, the
level of democratic activism has been larger in the rural areas than in Havana,
what ratifies the perception that the opposition is becoming a broader movement
as time goes by.
The essence of the movement
remains intact: After 25 years of activism, the movement remains loyal to
its two essential characteristics: the realization of democracy as the foremost
objective, and the use of peaceful methods for political change.
Relations with the exiled
community: Until the early 1990s the relationship between Exile
organizations and the internal opposition was nil.[cxxx]
Entrenched within the hermetic game of Cold War politics, the Exile perceived
internal dissidence to be merely a political maneuver of the Castro regime.[cxxxi]
The arrival of the first exiled members of the opposition, such as Ricardo
Bofill and Samuel Martínez Lara, and the end of the Cold War, allowed gradual
engagement towards the internal opposition. Particularly after Concilio
Cubano, the bulk of the Exile community professes support to the cause of
the opposition. The epicenter of pro-democracy activism shifted from Miami to
Havana. In this sense, the Cuban American National Foundation’s post-Elián
strategy shift, which de-emphasizes lobbying activities for the U.S. embargo and
underscores support for the opposition, is very telling.[cxxxii]
Dialogue with the regime:
The dichotomy dialogue vs. confrontation has been an underlying theme of
opposition (and Exile, for that matter) politics since the late 1980s. Since
that time, opposition figures issued countless appeals to the government for
tripartite dialogue between the regime, the opposition, and the Exile.[cxxxiii] The reaction of the
regime has been consistent: either repression or silence. Among opponents the
consensus is that Fidel Castro will never dialogue with internal dissidents,
whatever their nature.[cxxxiv]
Most organizations consider civic resistance and civil disobedience the only
strategies that offer positive results.[cxxxv]
Link with the general
population: By nature, opposition movements in non-democracies tend to be
marginal, significantly detached from the general population. The Cuban movement
is not an exception. Rarely do opposition initiatives rally significant numbers
of non-activist citizens.[cxxxvi]
Fear, hopelessness, and the opposition’s lack of access to mass media are
responsible for the lack of connection. In general, the population knows there
is
an opposition movement, but knows little about it.[cxxxvii]
If they know about the opposition, they tend to forego them as naïve.[cxxxviii]
Further, the prevalent attitude is one of alienation from politics. People tend
to worry about their well-being –resolver. Self-censure is common;
politics are a non-issue for many in Cuba.
[cxxxix]
If circumstances become untenable, many prefer to leave the island –“exit”–
rather than stay and join the opposition – “voice”.[cxl]
Fear stimulates this reaction. The regime continues to use physical and
psychological terror as forms of social control.[cxli]
US Policy: The 1992
Cuba Democracy Act and the 1996 Cuba Liberty Act legislate US policy towards the
Cuban internal opposition. In line with these Acts, the USAID Cuba Program has
dispatched a total of approximately $10 million since its inception.[cxlii] US direct assistance to
groups inside the island is prohibited. US support is channeled through NGOs,
mainly Miami-based, who maintain direct contact with opposition groups.
Comparatively, U.S. democracy assistance to Cuba is small.[cxliii]
According to Juan López, the size of aid reflected the Clinton administration’s
policy of maintaining the status quo in the island.[cxliv]
A “deplorable policy” towards broadcasts to Cuba further evidences Clinton’s
“stability-seeking” strategy.[cxlv]
The Cuban regime continues to effectively jam Radio and TV Martí, mainly due to
US indecision to augment the stations’ emission power. These circumstances
severely limit the stations’ extraordinary potential for bringing about change.
The “exit” option:[cxlvi]
As explained above, Cubans tend to opt for leaving the country when faced with
the Hirschmanesque dilemma of “exit” or “voice”. Hopelessness, or the feeling
that nobody can change the situation in Cuba, is dominant in the island.
Desperation generally leads to escape or resignation; rarely to protest.[cxlvii]
This dynamic fits perfectly into the regime’s strategy. Fidel Castro has
repeatedly used the “exit” option as a safety valve to liberate internal
pressures in moments of great tension.[cxlviii]
In contrast to some of the former Communist countries in Eastern Europe, the
Cuban regime favors the “exit” option over internal dissent.[cxlix]
Paradoxically, current US migration policy towards Cuba plays into Castro’s
interests while contradicting basic tenets of the embargo objectives.[cl]
Simultaneously, there are some concerns that a percentage of members of the
opposition participate in political activism as a way to justify applications
for asylum at embassies as political refugees.[cli]
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I am most indebted to my colleague and friend Laura Creswell for her
invaluable assistance in the edition of this piece.
[i]
Throughout the paper, I will use interchangeably the terms
opposition, democratic opposition, movement, and human rights
organization.
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[ii]
See, for example, González (98), and Coucil on Foreign Relations
(01).
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[iii]
El Nuevo Herald. “Castro amenaza a las agencias de prensa”.
Enero 19, 2001.
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[iv]
Schapiro, in Schapiro (ed.), 1972: 35
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[vii]
The best known is that of the Microfaction Affair (1968). In the
initial years of the Revolution the case of Huber Matos was
prominent.
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[viii]
Comité Cubano Pro Derechos Humanos (CCPDH).
The CCPDH was the first human rights organization in Revolutionary
Cuba. It was founded in 1976 by Ricardo Bofill and Marta Frayde.
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[ix]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[x]
Ricardo Bofill, as well as many others who later joined the ranks of
the CCPDH, were jailed during the Microfaction Affair. Marta Frayde
renounced to her ambassadorial post at the UNESCO after denouncing
abuses of power in the regime.
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[xi]
For example, the student group Seguidores de Mella recognized
themselves as Communists seeking to avoid the tragic developments in
Rumania in 1989. In the cultural sphere, groups such as Arte-Calle
were formed within the official structures, but were quickly
suppressed by those same structures of power.
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[xii]
Probably the most representative forum holding this position today
is the Mesa Redonda de la Oposición Moderada.
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[xiii]
Interview with Lázaro González Valdés, November 1999. Interview with
Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[xiv]
See Padula, in Baloyra and Morris, 1993: 15-37. Baloyra and Morris,
1993: 3-14. Clark, 1990. Montaner, 2000.
Bragado, 1998. Rojas, 1997.
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[xv]
Perez-Stable argues, similarly, that the Revolution was finished in
1970 after the ten-million-ton fiasco.
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[xvi]
Typically, post-totalitarian regimes emerge right after the
disappearance of the original leader (i.e. Stalin in the Soviet
Union, Mao Zedong in China). Interestingly, in the case of Cuba
Fidel Castro has been in charge during the transformation from
totalitarianism.
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[xvii]
According to Friedrich, 1953, the characteristics of totalitarianism
are: a totalist ideology, a single party led by one man, a fully
developed system of terroristic police control, and a monopolistic
control of mass communication, armed combat, and mass organization.
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[xviii]
In the case of Cuba, ultimate decision-making still resides with
Fidel Castro. See footnote 14.
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[xix]
For further discussion on Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union, see
Weigle and Butterfield, 1992.
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[xx]
Pérez-Stable, 1993: 120-130.
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[xxi]
Pérez-Stable, 1993: 122-123.
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[xxii]
The term sultanism was coined by Max Weber in the book Economics and
Society.
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[xxvi]
These decades are characterized by a series of policy reforms and
counterreforms that evidenced the regime’s struggle with Soviet
dogmatism. See Pérez-Stable, 1993: chapters 6 and 7.
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[xxvii]
The Special Period in Times of Peace began in 1990 and is still
ongoing. The Special Period is the program of adjustment to a
Post-Soviet world.
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[xxix]
Doble moral, or double-standards, refers to a notable tendency of the
Cuban population to accommodate their verbal expressions to the
circumstances, regardless of their true feelings.
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[xxx]
See Espinosa, 1999. López 1999, Aguirre, 1999.
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[xxxii]Weigle and
Butterfield, 1992: 2.
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[xxxiii]
Linz and Stepan, 1996: chapter 14.
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[xxxiv]
La Fisura is a term borrowed from Bragado, 1998.
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[xxxvii]
See Espinosa, 1999 (draft): 10.
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[xxxviii]
See Espinosa, 1999 (draft) 10; and Clark, 1990: 193.
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[xxxix]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99; Two members of the Cuban
Communist Party’s Central Committee, Ramon Calzines and José Matas,
were reprimanded in the Affair, albeit not severely.
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[xl]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[xli]
Bofill makes a point of noting that unlike many of his friends, he
was not a reformer. His writings advocated for “ruptura” with Fidel
and severely criticized the roots of the Communist system.
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[xlii]
For Bofill, prison was an “academia,” or academy. It was there that
he first saw the brutalities of the regime.
In his words, “Al nosotros entrar en la cárcel nos topamos con un
fenómeno terrible, los abusos terribles, la maquinaria de represión
que uno en la calle desconocía. Nosotros empezamos en la Prisión del
Morro, que era una prisión militar. abía presos políticos allí que
provenían de las Fuerzas Armadas. Allí se fusilaba, muchachos
jóvenes, que supuestamente habían tratado de desertar, de desviar
lanchas,... Además, estaba frente a la fortaleza de La Cabaña,
contigua. Habitualmente se escuchaban ahí las descargas de los
pelotones de fusilamiento de La Cabaña. Esa maquinaria represiva que
descubrimos allí la conocíamos de la Unión Soviética, que había sido
la esencia del poder mediante el terror.” It is also in prison that Bofill learns about Huber Matos, Mario
Chanes, and many other Plantado political prisoners. Their life
experiences were a fundamental influence on Bofill.
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[xliii]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[xliv]
Baeza, in Bragado, 1998: 128-135.
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[xlv]
Bofill was admittedly in a state of panic when he learned about Dr.
Frayde’s arrest.
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[xlvi]
In 1980, after approximately 10,000 Cubans invaded the site of the
Peruvian embassy in Havana seeking for political asylum, Castro
opened the Mariel harbor for Cubans to freely leave the island if
they so wanted. More than 100,000 people left.
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[xlvii]
Baeza, in Bragado, 1998: 128-135.
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[xlviii]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[xlix]
Baeza, in Bragado, 1998: 128-135.
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[l]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[li]
Del Aguila, in Baloyra and Morris, 1993: 176.
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[lii]
Although the CCPDH was not the only opposition organization, before
1988 there were only a handful of groups. Among them, the Liga
Cívica Martiana, formed in 1985 in prison, and the Comisión Cubana
de Derechos Humanos y Reconciliación Nacional (CCDHRN), founded by
Elizardo Sánchez Santacruz in 1987.
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[liii]
Among others, the Bar Association of the City of New York, the
Institute for Policy Studies, Amnesty International, Human Rights
Watch, Catholic Cardinal O’Connor.
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[liv]
It is telling that Fidel Castro publicly slammed the PPDH in a
speech only six days after its creation, naming it a partido de
bolsillo. See Bragado, 1998: 96.
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[lv]
According to Lázaro González Valdés, the PPDH collected more than
10,000 signatures in only three months.
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[lvi]
Bragado, 1998: 78-79.
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[lvii]
The State-run Cuban newspaper.
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[lviii]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[lix]
Gustavo Arcos substituted Bofill as the new leader of the CCPDH.
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[lx]
In the Summer of 1989, General Arnaldo Ochoa and several other
high-ranking military officers were tried for drug-trafficking.
Ochoa was sentenced to the death penalty. Numerous reports indicate
that Ochoa’s dissenting views and his popularity as a war hero
motivated his purge.
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[lxi]
Roberto Robaina, at the time a student leader at the Youth
Communists Union, UJC, and later the Minister of Foreign Affairs,
participated in the act of repudiation at the house of Gustavo Arcos
Bergnes in February 1990.
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[lxii]
Hidalgo, 1994: 196-228.
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[lxiii]
They were: Gustavo Arcos Bergnes, Oswaldo Payá, Roberto Luque
Escalona, Amador Blanco.
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[lxiv]
The most prominent were Armando Valladares, Jorge Mas Canosa, and
the Junta Patriótica; Hidalgo, 1994: 237
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[lxv]
Hidalgo, 1993: 238; Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99.
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[lxvi]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99; Directorio, 1999: 14; since
the mid 90s, some exile organizations have been key in the growth of
the movement by supporting them with material and humanitarian aid,
and by promoting the international recognition of the movement. As
an example, the exile has proposed three times the nomination of
various opposition leaders to the Nobel Peace Prize.
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[lxvii]
See the Pasos a la Libertad sequential reports, where this tendency
is most apparent.
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[lxviii]
The Coalición was created by: Comité de Unidad Nacional, Movimiento
Pacifista Solidaridad y Paz, Comité Juvenil Femenino, Comisión de
Derechos Humanos José Martí, Asociación Pro-Arte Libre, and Foro
Cívico. The
Concetrtación was formed by: Asociación Defensora de los Derechos
Políticos, Partido Pro Derechos Humanos, Criterio Alternativo,
Proyecto Apertura de la Isla, Libertad y Fe, Seguidores de Mella,
Movimiento Armonía, and Comisión Cubana de Derechos Humanos y
Reconciliación Nacional.
In the following weeks, other organizations enlarged the ranks of
both coalitions.
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[lxix]
Interview with Roberto Luque Escalona, February, 2000.
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[lxx]
Private conversation with former opponent Omar López Montenegro.
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[lxxi]
Hidalgo, 1993: 280-290.
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[lxxii]
Hidalgo, 1993: 291; Interview with Rigoberto Carcellés, April 2000;
Bragado, 1998: 160-163; Hidalgo, 1993: 230.
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[lxxiii]
Unión Sindical de Trabajadores Cubanos.
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[lxxiv]
Asociación de Periodistas Independientes de Cuba.
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[lxxv]
See Espinosa 1999, and Pasos sequential reports.
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[lxxvi]
There were acts of repudiation, beatings, and jail sentences
involving a large number of dissidents, among them Oswaldo Payá,
Elizardo Sánchez Santacruz, Mari Elena Cruz Varela, Vladimiro Roca,
and Gustavo Arcos Bergnes. Also, in April 92 the “Omar del Pozo
Affair” exploded, by which the government tried to discredit the
Coalición.
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[lxxvii]
This was the first of 6 consecutive condemnations (1992-1997).
Although the regime was excused in 1998, it was rebuked again the
following two years.
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[lxxix]
The cases of Col. Alvaro Prendes, JUCEPLAN official Manuel Sánchez
Herreros, PCC high official Carlos Coicolea, and journalist Raúl
Rivero are worth mentioning. Vladimiro Roca, the son of the PCC icon
Blas Roca, had become a dissident in 1991.
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[lxxx]
Baloyra and Morris, 1993: Chronology.
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[lxxxi]
Baloyra and Morris, 1993: Chronology.
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[lxxxii]
Ackerman and Clark, 1995: 22; It is worth mentioning that the number
of rafters arriving to their destination is presumably smaller than
that of rafter leaving Cuba. According to Ackerman and Clark,
“reasonable estimates range [those who perish in the journey]
between 25% and 75%” of those who leave Cuba.
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[lxxxiii]
The sinking of the tugboat “13 de Marzo” was investigated and
condemned by the Inter-American Court of Human Rights. The initial
information on the sinking was gathered by the PPDH after an
activist learned of the tragedy. According to LGV, “the PPDH had
such an impressive structure that in 48 hours it had been able to
collect and transmit all the information about the tugboat
incident”.
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[xc]
Pax Christi, 1996: 25.
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[xci]
Amnesty International affirms that Concilio Cubano listed 140
organizations; Pax Christi, 1996: 16 says “more than a 100”.
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[xciii]
Free translation by the author from the original Concilio Cubano
declaration.
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[xciv]
“For many of us, Concilio was like a Parliament. It was formed of
many committees and subcommittees and everyone was represented.”
Interview with Lázaro González Vladés, November, 1999.
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[xcv]
Interview with Lázaro González Valdés, November, 1999.
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[xcvi]
Interview with Lázaro González Valdés, November, 1999.
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[xcvii]
Fidel Castro received diverse appeals from international actors to
allow the Concilio meeting. Among them, that of Manuel Marín, vice
preseident of the EU Commission, in early February 1996.
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[xcviii]
See the Pasos sequential report.
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[xcix]
RAND, 1998; Roberts (et.al.), 1999.
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[c]
As evidenced by the abundant signs of empathy during visits to Cuba
by foreign representatives.
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[ci]
See http://www.cubanet.org; See Pasos a la
Libertad sequential reports.
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[cii]
Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ),
http://www.cpj.org/CPJespanol/paises/cuba.htm
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[ciii]
For example, Rivero was named regional vice president of the Press
Freedom Committee of the Inter-American Press Society. The CPJ
awarded Jesús Joel Díaz Hernández the International Award for Press
Freedom 1999.
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[civ]
At the end of 1999 Cubanet, the largest collector of news from the
Cuban independent press, was having problems incorporating all the
reports sent by independent journalists into its website.
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[cv]
See Human Rights Watch,
http://www.hrw.org/hrw/worldreport99/americas/cuba.html
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[cvi]
Pax Christi, 1998: 4.
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[cvii]
Pax Christi 1998:1. Interestingly, Pax Christi notes in this report
that, even though some expected the Pope to stopover in Havana in
his way to Mexico in early 1999, the Pope preferred to dismiss this
option as a sign of disappointment with the regime’s immobilism.
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[cix]
Human Rights Watch.
http://www.hrw.org/hrw/worldreport99/americas/cuba.html
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[cx]
According to Pax Christi, the Spanish embassy gave special attention
to this case, inasfar as a visit to Cuba by the Spanish King may
have been linked to the liberation of the GTDI activists.
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[cxi]
Directorio, 1999b: 7.
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[cxiii]
By May 2000, all but Vladimiro Roca had been released.
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[cxv]
Directorio, 1999b: 11.
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[cxviii]
Ibid: 12. The Fundación Lawton de Derechos Humanos disbanded right
after the Ayuno ended.
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[cxxi]
See
http://www.hrw.org/hrw/wr2k1/americas/cuba.html. See
Reuters, “Cuba group denounces month's 136 dissident arrests”. December 24, 1999.
See Juan O. Tamayo, “Cuba
targets dissent”. January 26, 2000. See Miguel Sigler Amaya, in
Cubanet. “Bloody
Attack on Dissident Family in Matanzas”, January 26, 2000.
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[cxxiii]
Directorio, 1999: 51; See Reuters, “Cuban Opposition Holds Rare
March in Havana”, December 24, 1999.
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[cxxv]
It is rumored that Carlos Alberto Montaner’s good offices with the
Mexican government prompted
President Zedillo’s critical speech in Havana. Similarly,
the decisions by Costa Rican, Salvadoran, and Nicaraguan Presidents
not to attend the Summit were stimulated by exile lobbying.
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[cxxvii]
See Gilberto Figueredo, in Cubanet. “Más
de 150 disidentes participan en acto de resistencia cívica”. August 9, 2000. See Marvin Hernández Monzón, in
Cubanet.
“Fundan Colegio de Médicos Independientes en Cárdenas”.May 24, 2000.
See María Elena Rodríguez, in Cubanet. “Encuentro de ‘Criterio
Civilista’, en pro de la sociedad civil”. May 23, 2000. See Grupo
Decoro. “Más de quince grupos de disidentes
peregrinarán el 24 [de Septiembre] a la Iglesia de la Merced.
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[cxxx]
Interview with Ricardo Bofill. 12/23/99
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[cxxxi]
A common observation was: if they are not Communists, then why don’t
they leave Cuba?
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[cxxxii]
Scott Wilson. “In Miami, Cuban Exile Group Shifts Focus: Foundation Looks More To Havana, Less to Congress” Washington Post,
September 14, 2000;A03.
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[cxxxiii]
The most prominent calls for dialogue were those of Gustavo Arcos
Bergnes, Elizardo Sánchez Santacruz, Roberto Luque Escalona, and
Oswaldo Payá between 1989 and 1991. Since then, others have repeated
similar appeals, such as the forum known as the Mesa de Reflexión de
la Oposición Moderada.
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[cxxxiv]
Although there is no serious statistical basis for these assertions,
they originate from private conversations with several exiled
members of the opposition.
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[cxxxv]
Interview with Lázaro González Valdés, November, 1999.
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[cxxxvi]
The spectacular level of popular participation during the 1999 Ayuno
was virtually unprecedented.
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[cxxxvii]
See responses to questions 65, 69, and 92 in USAID, 1999. It must be
noted, however, that knowledge about the existence of opposition
groups in the streets is widespread.
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[cxxxix]
The dissident Marta Beatriz Roque refers to self-censure as “the
internal policeman” that every Cuban has in his mind.
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[cxl]
I have borrowed the concepts of “voice” and “exit” from Hirschman,
1970; See Colomer, 2000; Ackerman and Clark, 1995; and López, 2001.
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[cxli]
See Directorio, 1999; See Bragado, 1999.
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[cxlii]
Karen De Young. “More
US Aid Sought for Cuban Dissidents”. The Washington Post. March 8,
2001. A16.
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[cxliii]
López, 2001: 807.López compares assistance to Cuba with US
assistance to South Africa, which in 1987 and years thereafter
received a total of $40 million annually to finance anti-apartheid
activities.
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[cl]
Ibid. (See table 1).
According to Colomer, to promote voice in Cuba, the US should have
an open-border policy while Cuba has a closed border. By closing
both borders simultaneously, migration policies promote loyalty.
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[cli]
These concerns were raised during private conversations with members
of Exile support groups.
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